Will SOL trade above $250 at any point this month?
Resolves YES if SOL/USD prints above $250 on a major exchange before month end.
Price history
Order book
Simulated depth around the current price.
Recent activity
Market Intelligence
AI verdict: Lean NOYES is slightly more likely than the prior price suggests, but with no spot-to-$250 distance provided, the evidence supports only a near-market estimate around 39%.
Risk & quality signals
Momentum 30 toward YES
What's driving it
- Market consensus— · 80
The 38% YES price is the strongest available aggregate estimate and is unchanged from the existing AI estimate.
- Positive momentumYES · 45
The momentum signal of +30 and the 3-point price increase indicate a modest recent shift toward a $250 touch.
- Low volatilityNO · 55
Volatility at 21/100 reduces the likelihood of a large intramonth move, particularly if SOL is materially below $250.
- Liquidity and volume— · 30
Liquidity is relatively solid at 69/100, but cumulative virtual volume of 718 credits is not strong enough to treat the recent move as highly decisive.
Why it moved
The move from 35% to 38% appears consistent with the positive momentum signal and a modest repricing toward YES; given only moderate virtual volume, it may reflect incremental sentiment rather than confirmed information,
Watch-outs
- The current SOL/USD spot price and its distance from $250 are not provided; this is the key missing determinant of touch
- Crypto can move sharply on broader market, regulatory, network, or exchange-specific developments despite currently low/
- Volatility can rise abruptly, making the low current volatility reading less predictive later in the month.
- The contract resolves on any qualifying intramonth print, so a brief spike above $250 is sufficient even if SOL does not
AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.
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Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.
How this market resolves
Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.
- Resolution date
- When the underlying event concludes
- Category
- Crypto
- Settlement source
- Volume-weighted price across major exchanges (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken)
This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.
How this market works
- Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 38¢ means the market implies a 38% chance of YES.
- Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 38¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 62¢ per share.
- Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
- The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.
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