Will BTC print a new all-time high before the quarter ends?
Resolves YES if BTC/USD exceeds its prior all-time high on a major exchange this quarter.
Price history
Order book
Simulated depth around the current price.
Recent activity
- Sold YES10 @ 54¢12d ago
- Bought YES10 @ 54¢12d ago
Market Intelligence
AI verdict: Toss-upBTC has a roughly even, slightly-better-than-not chance of setting a new all-time high this quarter, but the available signals do not show a decisive breakout trend.
Risk & quality signals
Momentum 0 — flat
What's driving it
- Market and AI consensusYES · 32
Both the 54% market price and existing 54% AI estimate place a modest edge on YES rather than signaling a high-conviction outcome.
- Momentum— · 28
The zero momentum reading provides no evidence that traders are increasingly pricing an imminent push through the prior all-time high.
- VolatilityNO · 22
Low reported volatility (17/100) is less consistent with the large directional move often needed to clear an all-time-high threshold within a limited quarter.
- Liquidity and participation— · 18
Liquidity is solid at 70/100, but cumulative virtual volume of 852 credits is not strong enough on its own to make the 54% price especially informative or confir
Why it moved
There was no price move: the YES price remains 54%, matching the existing AI estimate. With zero momentum and only moderate cumulative virtual volume, the market appears to be holding a tentative consensus rather than re
Watch-outs
- The current BTC spot price's distance from its prior all-time high is not provided; that is the most important missing.
- The remaining number of days in the quarter is not stated, so the time available for a breakout cannot be assessed.
- Crypto can reprice rapidly on macro, ETF-flow, regulatory, exchange, or leverage-driven developments that are not.
AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.
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Ask anything about “Will BTC print a new all-time high before the quarter ends?” — the copilot answers using this market's current data.
Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.
How this market resolves
Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.
- Resolution date
- When the underlying event concludes
- Category
- Crypto
- Settlement source
- Volume-weighted price across major exchanges (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken)
This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.
How this market works
- Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 54¢ means the market implies a 54% chance of YES.
- Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 54¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 46¢ per share.
- Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
- The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.
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