Will Bitcoin dominance remain above 55% at month end?
Resolves YES if BTC market-cap dominance is at or above 55% at the monthly close.
Price history
Order book
Simulated depth around the current price.
Recent activity
Market Intelligence
AI verdict: Lean YESYES is a slight favorite, but the available signals support only a modest edge because the current dominance level and time remaining to month-end are not provided.
Risk & quality signals
Momentum 10 toward YES
What's driving it
- Market consensusYES · 45
The 57% YES price places the threshold outcome modestly above even odds and matches the existing AI estimate.
- Positive momentumYES · 20
Momentum of +10 indicates a mild recent drift toward YES, consistent with the one-point price increase from 56% to 57%.
- Low volatilityYES · 15
A volatility reading of 22/100 suggests less near-term instability, which modestly favors persistence if Bitcoin dominance is presently near or above the cutoff
- Threshold and timing uncertaintyNO · 20
Without the current BTC dominance reading or a fixed close time, it is not possible to assess how much buffer exists above 55% or how long it must hold.
Why it moved
The one-point increase appears consistent with mild positive momentum rather than a major repricing; with 523 credits of virtual volume and 67/100 liquidity, the 57% price is a reasonably informative but still non-decisr
Watch-outs
- BTC dominance could be close enough to 55% that ordinary altcoin outperformance flips the result by month-end.
- A broad altcoin rally can reduce BTC dominance even if Bitcoin's own price rises.
- The absence of a stated current dominance value and fixed close time materially limits confidence in a persistence call.
AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.
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Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.
How this market resolves
Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.
- Resolution date
- When the underlying event concludes
- Category
- Crypto
- Settlement source
- Volume-weighted price across major exchanges (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken)
This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.
How this market works
- Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 57¢ means the market implies a 57% chance of YES.
- Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 57¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 43¢ per share.
- Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
- The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.
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