Will the Evil Geniuses beat the MIBR?
Valorant matchup. Derived from the live Valorant market: Evil Geniuses are favored by 2.5. The price reflects the sportsbook-implied probability.
Price history
Order book
Simulated depth around the current price.
Recent activity
Market Intelligence
AI verdict: Strong YESEvil Geniuses are a clear but not overwhelming favorite at the available sportsbook-derived 79% implied probability, with no market data currently indicating a reason to deviate from that baseline.
Risk & quality signals
Momentum 0 — flat
What's driving it
- Sportsbook-derived baselineYES · 70
The market is explicitly derived from a live Valorant sportsbook line and prices Evil Geniuses at a strong 79% win probability.
- Favorite statusYES · 55
Evil Geniuses being favored by 2.5 supports a meaningful expected edge over MIBR, though the exact map/series interpretation is not provided.
- No contrary market momentum— · 25
The price is unchanged at 79% and momentum is zero, so there is no observed repricing toward an upset or a stronger EG position.
- Absent exchange participation— · 30
Zero virtual volume and zero liquidity mean the exchange price has not been independently stress-tested by participant activity.
Why it moved
Nothing material has moved: the YES price remains 79%, matching the existing AI estimate, while zero volume, zero liquidity, and neutral momentum provide no evidence of new information being incorporated beyond the cited
Watch-outs
- Valorant series outcomes can be sensitive to map pool, side selection, roster availability, and late lineup news not in
- The favored-by-2.5 reference lacks its underlying market type, limiting how precisely it can be translated into match-wi
- With no exchange volume, the displayed probability is effectively reliant on the source sportsbook line rather than cr
AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.
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Grounded in live prices, the AI edge, and risk signals
Ask anything about “Will the Evil Geniuses beat the MIBR?” — the copilot answers using this market's current data.
Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.
How this market resolves
Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.
- Resolution date
- August 1, 2026
- Category
- Sports
- Settlement source
- Official league box scores & sportsbook settlement
This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.
How this market works
- Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 79¢ means the market implies a 79% chance of YES.
- Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 79¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 21¢ per share.
- Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
- The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.
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