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Will the Evil Geniuses beat the Leviatán Esports?

Valorant matchup. Derived from the live Valorant market: Evil Geniuses are favored by 1.5. The price reflects the sportsbook-implied probability.

YES price5¢
0
Volume0.00 cr
Market implied5%YES price
AI estimate5%60% confidence
AI edgeUnlockUpgrade tier
StatusCloseduntil close

Price history

Order book

PriceSize (shares)
12¢52
11¢92
10¢76
48
67
57
38
Spread YES / 95¢ NO
45
44
45
58
90
94
75

Simulated depth around the current price.

Recent activity

No trades yet on this market — be the first to take a position.

Market Intelligence

AI verdict: Strong NO

Evil Geniuses are priced as a substantial underdog by the supplied 5% implied probability, though the stated -1.5 favorite designation materially conflicts with that feed and limits confidence.

AI probability7%of YES
Market implied5%AI agrees
Conviction21/100

Risk & quality signals

Stability94
Steady pricing
Volatility6
Calm recent action
Liquidity0
Thin — trades move price
Manip. risk0
No unusual pattern

Momentum 0 — flat

What's driving it

  • Sportsbook-implied probabilityNO · 80

    The current YES price and supplied sportsbook-implied probability are both 5%, the strongest available indication that EG are unlikely to win under this market.

  • Existing AI estimateNO · 60

    The prior AI estimate is also 5%, so there is no independent model signal in the provided data supporting a materially higher EG win chance.

  • Handicap-data inconsistencyYES · 45

    EG being described as favored by 1.5 would normally imply a much higher match-win probability than 5%, raising the possibility of a side, market, or data-maping

Why it moved

There has been no price movement from 5%, no recorded virtual volume, and neutral momentum; the market therefore provides no evidence of a fresh repricing, while the mismatch between the handicap description and implied-

Watch-outs

  • The quoted -1.5 favorite status conflicts sharply with the 5% YES probability and could indicate that the teams, side,or
  • With zero liquidity and zero virtual volume, the displayed price has not been market-tested.
  • Roster, event format, and match-status information are not provided, and the scheduled close date is far in the future.

AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

Ask AI about this market

Grounded in live prices, the AI edge, and risk signals

Ask anything about Will the Evil Geniuses beat the Leviatán Esports? — the copilot answers using this market's current data.

Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

How this market resolves

Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.

Resolution date
July 23, 2026
Category
Sports
Settlement source
Official league box scores & sportsbook settlement

This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.

How this market works

  • Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 5¢ means the market implies a 5% chance of YES.
  • Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 5¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 95¢ per share.
  • Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
  • The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.

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