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Will the Aeterna Esports beat the Colossal Gaming?

League of Legends matchup. Derived from the live League of Legends market: Aeterna Esports are favored by 3. The price reflects the sportsbook-implied probability.

YES price39¢
0
Volume0.00 cr
Market implied39%YES price
AI estimate39%60% confidence
AI edgeUnlockUpgrade tier
StatusCloseduntil close

Price history

Order book

PriceSize (shares)
46¢45
45¢42
44¢40
43¢68
42¢45
41¢38
40¢34
Spread39¢ YES / 61¢ NO
38¢25
37¢39
36¢41
35¢58
34¢43
33¢78
32¢57

Simulated depth around the current price.

Recent activity

No trades yet on this market — be the first to take a position.

Market Intelligence

AI verdict: Lean NO

Aeterna Esports appear to be a modest underdog at a 39% implied win probability, with no available market activity or independent performance data to justify moving away from the sportsbook-derived estimate.

AI probability39%of YES
Market implied39%AI agrees
Conviction21/100

Risk & quality signals

Stability89
Steady pricing
Volatility11
Calm recent action
Liquidity0
Thin — trades move price
Manip. risk0
No unusual pattern

Momentum 0 — flat

What's driving it

  • Sportsbook baseline · 70

    The market is explicitly derived from a live League of Legends sportsbook market, whose 39% YES price is the strongest available signal.

  • Favorite designationNO · 55

    Despite the wording that Aeterna are “favored by 3,” the displayed 39% win probability indicates Colossal Gaming is priced as the more likely winner in this yes

Why it moved

The price is unchanged at 39%, exactly matching the existing AI estimate; with zero virtual volume, zero liquidity, and neutral momentum, there is no evidence of a fresh market-driven reassessment.

Watch-outs

  • The phrase “favored by 3” is ambiguous and may refer to a handicap rather than match-win favoritism; the displayed 39% Y

AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

Ask AI about this market

Grounded in live prices, the AI edge, and risk signals

Ask anything about Will the Aeterna Esports beat the Colossal Gaming? — the copilot answers using this market's current data.

Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

How this market resolves

Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.

Resolution date
July 31, 2026
Category
Sports
Settlement source
Official league box scores & sportsbook settlement

This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.

How this market works

  • Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 39¢ means the market implies a 39% chance of YES.
  • Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 39¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 61¢ per share.
  • Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
  • The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.

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