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Will the GgMaChine beat the Percival?

ESPORT-STARCRAFT-2 matchup. Derived from the live ESPORT-STARCRAFT-2 market: GgMaChine are favored by 2. The price reflects the sportsbook-implied probability.

YES price26¢
0
Volume0.00 cr
Market implied26%YES price
AI estimate26%60% confidence
AI edgeUnlockUpgrade tier
StatusCloseduntil close

Price history

Order book

PriceSize (shares)
33¢86
32¢61
31¢86
30¢54
29¢55
28¢47
27¢32
Spread26¢ YES / 74¢ NO
25¢46
24¢27
23¢50
22¢41
21¢58
20¢80
19¢104

Simulated depth around the current price.

Recent activity

No trades yet on this market — be the first to take a position.

Market Intelligence

AI verdict: Strong NO

GgMaChine is a clear underdog on the available sportsbook-derived signal, with no market activity or momentum indicating a reassessment from the 26% baseline.

AI probability26%of YES
Market implied26%AI agrees
Conviction21/100

Risk & quality signals

Stability87
Steady pricing
Volatility13
Calm recent action
Liquidity0
Thin — trades move price
Manip. risk0
No unusual pattern

Momentum 0 — flat

What's driving it

  • Sportsbook-implied baselineNO · 75

    The YES price is 26% and is stated to reflect sportsbook-implied probability, making Percival the substantially more likely winner on the primary available data

  • No independent market confirmation · 45

    Cumulative virtual volume and liquidity are both zero, so there is no trading-based evidence to validate or challenge the sportsbook-derived price.

  • Stable pricing and momentum · 30

    The price is unchanged at 26% and momentum is zero, indicating no current directional pressure toward a GgMaChine upset.

  • Moderate match volatilityYES · 20

    A volatility reading of 13/100 is not high, but esports match outcomes retain meaningful single-series upset risk despite the favorite/underdog gap.

Why it moved

There has been no price movement: the YES price remains 26%, matching the existing AI estimate, while zero volume and liquidity suggest the market is simply carrying the sportsbook-derived baseline rather than reactingto

Watch-outs

  • The wording that GgMaChine are 'favored by 2' is potentially ambiguous relative to the 26% YES price; the quoted implied

AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

Ask AI about this market

Grounded in live prices, the AI edge, and risk signals

Ask anything about Will the GgMaChine beat the Percival? — the copilot answers using this market's current data.

Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

How this market resolves

Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.

Resolution date
July 31, 2026
Category
Sports
Settlement source
Official league box scores & sportsbook settlement

This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.

How this market works

  • Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 26¢ means the market implies a 26% chance of YES.
  • Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 26¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 74¢ per share.
  • Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
  • The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.

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