Will the MaNa beat the Rogue?
ESPORT-STARCRAFT-2 matchup. Derived from the live ESPORT-STARCRAFT-2 market: MaNa are favored by 2.5. The price reflects the sportsbook-implied probability.
Price history
Order book
Simulated depth around the current price.
Recent activity
Market Intelligence
AI verdict: Lean NOMaNa’s estimated chance is approximately 38%, with the available inputs offering no evidence to move meaningfully away from the sportsbook-implied price or existing AI estimate.
Risk & quality signals
Momentum 0 — flat
What's driving it
- Sportsbook-implied probabilityNO · 75
The current YES price is 38%, directly indicating MaNa is viewed as the less-likely winner under the market’s implied-probability framing.
- Existing AI estimate— · 55
The prior AI estimate is also 38% at moderate confidence, providing no independent reason to revise the baseline.
- Reported 2.5 matchup edgeYES · 25
The stated 2.5 favoring signal is directionally supportive of MaNa, but its meaning conflicts with the 38% implied probability and lacks enough context to re-r
Why it moved
There has been no price movement from 38%, no virtual volume, and neutral momentum, so the market appears inactive rather than repricing on identifiable new information; the AI estimate remains aligned with that static,
Watch-outs
- The description that MaNa are favored by 2.5 conflicts with the 38% YES implied probability, so market-side designation/
AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.
Ask AI about this market
Grounded in live prices, the AI edge, and risk signals
Ask anything about “Will the MaNa beat the Rogue?” — the copilot answers using this market's current data.
Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.
How this market resolves
Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.
- Resolution date
- July 24, 2026
- Category
- Sports
- Settlement source
- Official league box scores & sportsbook settlement
This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.
How this market works
- Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 38¢ means the market implies a 38% chance of YES.
- Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 38¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 62¢ per share.
- Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
- The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.
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