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Will the Rogue beat the Lambo?

ESPORT-STARCRAFT-2 matchup. Derived from the live ESPORT-STARCRAFT-2 market: Rogue are favored by 1. The price reflects the sportsbook-implied probability.

YES price19¢
0
Volume0.00 cr
Market implied19%YES price
AI estimate19%60% confidence
AI edgeUnlockUpgrade tier
StatusCloseduntil close

Price history

Order book

PriceSize (shares)
26¢57
25¢62
24¢63
23¢68
22¢68
21¢28
20¢35
Spread19¢ YES / 81¢ NO
18¢20
17¢37
16¢30
15¢57
14¢81
13¢51
12¢51

Simulated depth around the current price.

Recent activity

No trades yet on this market — be the first to take a position.

Market Intelligence

AI verdict: Strong NO

Rogue is a clear underdog at the supplied sportsbook-implied 19% probability, and the available market data provide no independent reason to move away from that baseline.

AI probability19%of YES
Market implied19%AI agrees
Conviction21/100

Risk & quality signals

Stability75
Steady pricing
Volatility25
Calm recent action
Liquidity0
Thin — trades move price
Manip. risk0
No unusual pattern

Momentum 0 — flat

What's driving it

  • Sportsbook baselineNO · 70

    The derived matchup price places YES at 19%, implying Lambo is strongly favored in the underlying market.

  • No confirming market movement · 15

    The price is unchanged at 19% and momentum is zero, so there is no observed repricing toward a Rogue upset.

  • No liquidity or volume · 10

    Zero virtual volume and liquidity mean the displayed probability has not been meaningfully tested by exchange participation.

  • Moderate volatility signal · 5

    Volatility of 25/100 allows for normal esports-match uncertainty but does not itself indicate a directional edge for Rogue.

Why it moved

Nothing materially moved: YES remains at 19%, matching the existing AI estimate, with zero cumulative volume and zero momentum; the price therefore appears to be holding at the sportsbook-derived baseline rather than re-

Watch-outs

  • The underlying sportsbook line could change before match start as roster, map, format, or availability information is re
  • Esports single-match outcomes retain meaningful upset variance despite a low implied probability.
  • With no exchange liquidity or volume, the quoted 19% has limited independent validation.

AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

Ask AI about this market

Grounded in live prices, the AI edge, and risk signals

Ask anything about Will the Rogue beat the Lambo? — the copilot answers using this market's current data.

Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

How this market resolves

Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.

Resolution date
July 26, 2026
Category
Sports
Settlement source
Official league box scores & sportsbook settlement

This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.

How this market works

  • Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 19¢ means the market implies a 19% chance of YES.
  • Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 19¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 81¢ per share.
  • Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
  • The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.

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