Will the Serral beat the SHIN?
ESPORT-STARCRAFT-2 matchup. Derived from the live ESPORT-STARCRAFT-2 market: Serral are favored by 0.5. The price reflects the sportsbook-implied probability.
Price history
Order book
Simulated depth around the current price.
Recent activity
Market Intelligence
AI verdict: Strong NOThe best calibrated estimate remains 20% for Serral to beat SHIN because the sportsbook-derived YES price and existing AI estimate agree, while there is no volume or momentum evidence to justify a deviation.
Risk & quality signals
Momentum 0 — flat
What's driving it
- Sportsbook-implied priceNO · 75
The current YES price is 20%, and the market description states that this price reflects the sportsbook-implied probability.
- AI-estimate alignment— · 50
The existing AI estimate is also 20%, providing no independent signal that Serral's chance should be repriced.
- No trading confirmation— · 30
Cumulative virtual volume is zero and momentum is flat, so there is no participant flow validating either a move higher or lower.
- Moderate volatility— · 20
Volatility of 37/100 allows for later repricing but does not currently point directionally toward YES.
- Favoritism-field ambiguityYES · 15
The note that Serral are favored by 0.5 appears directionally inconsistent with a 20% outright YES probability, but the explicit sportsbook-derived price should
Why it moved
There has been no price movement: YES remains at 20%, matching the AI estimate, with zero virtual volume and zero momentum; absent tradable flow or a clear reconciliation of the listed favorite/handicap field, there is a
Watch-outs
- The 'Serral are favored by 0.5' field may refer to a handicap or may be misaligned with the displayed YES outcome, which
- The match is far from its listed close date, so roster, format, form, and sportsbook information may materially change.
- Zero liquidity means the displayed price has not been tested by market participation.
AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.
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Ask anything about “Will the Serral beat the SHIN?” — the copilot answers using this market's current data.
Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.
How this market resolves
Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.
- Resolution date
- July 25, 2026
- Category
- Sports
- Settlement source
- Official league box scores & sportsbook settlement
This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.
How this market works
- Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 20¢ means the market implies a 20% chance of YES.
- Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 20¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 80¢ per share.
- Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
- The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.
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