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Will the Level UP beat the Team AION?

Dota 2 matchup. Derived from the live Dota 2 market: Level UP are favored by 3. The price reflects the sportsbook-implied probability.

YES price4¢
0
Volume0.00 cr
Market implied4%YES price
AI estimate4%60% confidence
AI edgeUnlockUpgrade tier
StatusCloseduntil close

Price history

Order book

PriceSize (shares)
11¢92
10¢82
57
47
35
41
34
Spread YES / 96¢ NO
41
44
39
73
37
64
85

Simulated depth around the current price.

Recent activity

No trades yet on this market — be the first to take a position.

Market Intelligence

AI verdict: Strong NO

Level UP appear very unlikely to beat Team AION under the current derived pricing, although the stated “favored by 3” label conflicts with the 4% YES probability and warrants caution.

AI probability4%of YES
Market implied4%AI agrees
Conviction21/100

Risk & quality signals

Stability96
Steady pricing
Volatility4
Calm recent action
Liquidity0
Thin — trades move price
Manip. risk0
No unusual pattern

Momentum 0 — flat

What's driving it

  • Market-implied probabilityNO · 75

    The current YES price is 4%, indicating the underlying sportsbook-derived market assigns Level UP only a very small chance of winning.

  • Existing AI estimateNO · 55

    The existing AI estimate also sits at 4%, independently reinforcing the low-probability interpretation.

  • No favorable momentum or repricing · 20

    The price is unchanged at 4% and momentum is zero, so there is no current evidence of traders reassessing Level UP upward.

  • Signal-label inconsistencyYES · 30

    The detail that Level UP are “favored by 3” would ordinarily imply a much higher win chance, but it conflicts sharply with the derived 4% price and may reflect,

Why it moved

Nothing material has moved in the displayed market: the YES price remains 4%, volatility is low, and zero virtual volume means there is no trading activity to validate or challenge the sportsbook-derived estimate.

Watch-outs

  • The “favored by 3” description is inconsistent with a 4% win probability and could indicate a handicap, side-label, or l
  • With zero liquidity and zero virtual volume, the displayed price has not been tested by market participation.
  • Dota 2 lineups, roster substitutions, draft effects, and match-format details can materially alter esports win chances.
  • The unusually distant close date may make it harder to determine whether the underlying source line is current.

AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

Ask AI about this market

Grounded in live prices, the AI edge, and risk signals

Ask anything about Will the Level UP beat the Team AION? — the copilot answers using this market's current data.

Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

How this market resolves

Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.

Resolution date
July 23, 2026
Category
Sports
Settlement source
Official league box scores & sportsbook settlement

This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.

How this market works

  • Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 4¢ means the market implies a 4% chance of YES.
  • Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 4¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 96¢ per share.
  • Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
  • The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.

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