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Will the eternal premium beat the Mai Tai?

Counter-Strike 2 matchup. Derived from the live Counter-Strike 2 market: eternal premium are favored by 1.5. The price reflects the sportsbook-implied probability.

YES price12¢
0
Volume0.00 cr
Market implied12%YES price
AI estimate12%60% confidence
AI edgeUnlockUpgrade tier
StatusCloseduntil close

Price history

Order book

PriceSize (shares)
19¢108
18¢70
17¢82
16¢57
15¢31
14¢54
13¢46
Spread12¢ YES / 88¢ NO
11¢36
10¢47
54
35
67
45
101

Simulated depth around the current price.

Recent activity

No trades yet on this market — be the first to take a position.

Market Intelligence

AI verdict: Strong NO

The available pricing supports only a 12% chance that eternal premium beat the Mai Tai, though the stated “favored by 1.5” label conflicts with that implied probability and warrants verification.

AI probability12%of YES
Market implied12%AI agrees
Conviction21/100

Risk & quality signals

Stability78
Steady pricing
Volatility22
Calm recent action
Liquidity0
Thin — trades move price
Manip. risk0
No unusual pattern

Momentum 0 — flat

What's driving it

  • Sportsbook-implied probabilityNO · 80

    The YES price is 12%, indicating the underlying sportsbook-derived market currently treats an eternal premium win as unlikely.

  • Unchanged market and AI estimate · 45

    Both the current and previous price are 12%, matching the existing 12% AI estimate, so there is no evidence of a repricing.

  • No liquidity or virtual volume · 35

    Zero liquidity and zero cumulative virtual volume mean there is no exchange participation to independently validate or challenge the source price.

  • Low directional signals · 20

    Momentum is zero and volatility is modest at 22/100, offering no numerical indication that the matchup outlook is shifting toward YES.

  • Favorite-label inconsistency · 55

    Calling eternal premium “favored by 1.5” is difficult to reconcile with a 12% win probability and may refer to a handicap, a different side, or a data-labeling/

Why it moved

Nothing has moved: the price remains at 12%, in line with the existing AI estimate, while zero volume and liquidity suggest the market has not provided any new participant-driven information.

Watch-outs

  • The “favored by 1.5” description may be a handicap reference or data mismatch; if it truly means eternal premium are the

AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

Ask AI about this market

Grounded in live prices, the AI edge, and risk signals

Ask anything about Will the eternal premium beat the Mai Tai? — the copilot answers using this market's current data.

Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

How this market resolves

Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.

Resolution date
July 25, 2026
Category
Sports
Settlement source
Official league box scores & sportsbook settlement

This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.

How this market works

  • Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 12¢ means the market implies a 12% chance of YES.
  • Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 12¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 88¢ per share.
  • Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
  • The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.

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