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Will the Black Phoenix beat the Mai Tai?

Counter-Strike 2 matchup. Derived from the live Counter-Strike 2 market: Black Phoenix are favored by 1. The price reflects the sportsbook-implied probability.

YES price60¢
0
Volume0.00 cr
Market implied60%YES price
AI estimate60%60% confidence
AI edgeUnlockUpgrade tier
StatusCloseduntil close

Price history

Order book

PriceSize (shares)
67¢68
66¢96
65¢85
64¢39
63¢52
62¢27
61¢23
Spread60¢ YES / 40¢ NO
59¢25
58¢35
57¢54
56¢64
55¢54
54¢96
53¢50

Simulated depth around the current price.

Recent activity

No trades yet on this market — be the first to take a position.

Market Intelligence

AI verdict: Lean YES

Black Phoenix are a modest favorite at an estimated 60% to beat Mai Tai, with no independent market activity or momentum signal to justify moving away from the sportsbook-implied baseline.

AI probability60%of YES
Market implied60%AI agrees
Conviction21/100

Risk & quality signals

Stability74
Steady pricing
Volatility26
Calm recent action
Liquidity0
Thin — trades move price
Manip. risk0
No unusual pattern

Momentum 0 — flat

What's driving it

  • Sportsbook-implied baselineYES · 75

    The source market prices Black Phoenix at 60%, indicating a clear but far from decisive edge over Mai Tai.

  • Stable pricing · 45

    The YES price is unchanged from 60%, so there is no observed repricing toward either team.

  • No exchange participation · 40

    Zero cumulative virtual volume and zero liquidity mean there is no crowd-trading signal to corroborate or challenge the imported line.

  • Moderate volatilityNO · 30

    A 26/100 volatility reading suggests some uncertainty remains, consistent with the meaningful chance of a Mai Tai upset.

Why it moved

Nothing material has moved: the current and previous YES prices are both 60%, momentum is zero, and there has been no virtual volume. With no independent exchange activity, the AI estimate appropriately remains aligned,

Watch-outs

  • The underlying sportsbook line may change as roster, map, format, or pre-match information emerges.
  • Counter-Strike matches can be highly map- and veto-dependent, making a 60% favorite vulnerable to an upset.
  • The very distant listed close date may indicate scheduling or market-data uncertainty.
  • No liquidity means the displayed probability has not been tested by participant trading.

AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

Ask AI about this market

Grounded in live prices, the AI edge, and risk signals

Ask anything about Will the Black Phoenix beat the Mai Tai? — the copilot answers using this market's current data.

Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

How this market resolves

Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.

Resolution date
July 30, 2026
Category
Sports
Settlement source
Official league box scores & sportsbook settlement

This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.

How this market works

  • Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 60¢ means the market implies a 60% chance of YES.
  • Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 60¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 40¢ per share.
  • Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
  • The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.

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