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Will the Butterfly beat the Just Players?

Counter-Strike 2 matchup. Derived from the live Counter-Strike 2 market: Butterfly are favored by 1. The price reflects the sportsbook-implied probability.

YES price39¢
0
Volume0.00 cr
Market implied39%YES price
AI estimate39%60% confidence
AI edgeUnlockUpgrade tier
StatusCloseduntil close

Price history

Order book

PriceSize (shares)
46¢110
45¢86
44¢43
43¢70
42¢65
41¢31
40¢35
Spread39¢ YES / 61¢ NO
38¢25
37¢32
36¢66
35¢39
34¢56
33¢47
32¢58

Simulated depth around the current price.

Recent activity

No trades yet on this market — be the first to take a position.

Market Intelligence

AI verdict: Lean NO

Butterfly are a modest underdog at the current sportsbook-derived price, and with no independent market activity or new matchup information supplied, the 39% implied probability is the most defensible estimate.

AI probability39%of YES
Market implied39%AI agrees
Conviction21/100

Risk & quality signals

Stability84
Steady pricing
Volatility16
Calm recent action
Liquidity0
Thin — trades move price
Manip. risk0
No unusual pattern

Momentum 0 — flat

What's driving it

  • Sportsbook-derived baselineNO · 75

    The source market prices Butterfly at 39%, indicating Just Players are viewed as the more likely winner despite the narrow matchup framing.

  • No price movement · 40

    The YES price is unchanged at 39%, providing no evidence of a recent reassessment toward either team.

  • No exchange liquidity or volume · 50

    Zero virtual volume and liquidity mean there is no additional crowd signal to validate or challenge the sportsbook-implied line.

  • Moderate volatility signal · 20

    Volatility of 16/100 suggests some normal esports uncertainty, but not enough indicated instability to warrant moving materially from the baseline.

Why it moved

Nothing material is visible in the supplied data: the price remains 39%, momentum is zero, and zero volume means there has been no observable exchange participation to explain or confirm a move.

Watch-outs

  • The stated matchup characterization is sparse, with no roster, map-pool, format, recent-form, or lineup information to评估
  • Counter-Strike outcomes can shift quickly if a confirmed substitute, veto/map advantage, or late roster news emerges.
  • Because this is a derived sportsbook market, a source-line update could change the probability even without activity on

AI-generated intelligence for a paper-trading simulation. Scores are derived from live market data; the analysis is an independent model view that refreshes as the market moves. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

Ask AI about this market

Grounded in live prices, the AI edge, and risk signals

Ask anything about Will the Butterfly beat the Just Players? — the copilot answers using this market's current data.

Paper-trading simulation. Informational only — not betting or financial advice.

How this market resolves

Resolves YES if, by the resolution date, the outcome described above is confirmed true by the settlement source. Otherwise it resolves NO.

Resolution date
July 28, 2026
Category
Sports
Settlement source
Official league box scores & sportsbook settlement

This is a paper-trading simulation. Prices are virtual credits and resolution is illustrative — not betting, wagering, or financial advice.

How this market works

  • Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and represent the implied probability of the outcome. A YES price of 39¢ means the market implies a 39% chance of YES.
  • Each correct share settles at 100¢ when the market resolves. Buy at 39¢ and, if YES is right, you gain 61¢ per share.
  • Your trades move the price: buying pushes a side up, selling pushes it down. You can sell any time before close to lock in gains or cut losses.
  • The AI estimate is an independent model view. When it differs from the market price, that gap is the “AI edge” shown above.

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