Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?82%Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?97%-0.7Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?83%+81.0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?99%
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?100%-0.4Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?97%+21.3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?51%-6.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?99%+87.5Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?100%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?84%+14.8Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?99%+5.9
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?60%+2.3Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?93%+1.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?100%+3.5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 21?100%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?100%+30.9Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?95%-5.1Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?95%+52.3Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?96%-1.0
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live odds history
About this market
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Related markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 21?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?
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