Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage100%Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group A100%+20.0LoL: ZSK vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D100%-50.0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?81%+1.0Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?97%-0.7Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?84%+82.0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?99%
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?100%-0.4Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?97%+21.4Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?51%-6.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?99%+87.2Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?100%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?82%+17.6Singapore Open: Kyoka Okamura vs Leylah Fernandez100%-23.4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?99%+6.2
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?60%+2.1Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?93%+1.1Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?100%+3.4Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 21?100%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?100%+30.3Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?96%-5.3Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?94%+50.5
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?81%+1.0Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?97%-0.7Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?84%+82.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?99%Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?100%-0.4Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?97%+21.4Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?51%-6.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?99%+87.2Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?100%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?82%+17.6Singapore Open: Kyoka Okamura vs Leylah Fernandez100%-23.4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84%Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?99%+6.2Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?60%+2.1Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?93%+1.1Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?100%+3.4Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 21?100%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?100%+30.3Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?96%-5.3Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?94%+50.5
LiveOther
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No
96.5%-0.7
24h volume$292K
Liquidity$962K
ClosesEnds Jan 1
Live odds history
Yes96.5¢
Sep 14Sep 21
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Related markets
LiveOther
OtherFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No82.0%
-0.5 pts$317K 24h vol$85KEnds Jan 1
LiveOther
OtherWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
Yes99.3%
+5.9 pts$185K 24h vol$80KEnds Sep 23
LiveOther
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No92.8%
+1.1 pts$175K 24h vol$309KEnds Jan 1
LiveOther
OtherWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
Yes99.7%
+3.9 pts$155K 24h vol$75KEnds Sep 30
Live
Other
OtherUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
No90.5%
+1.0 pts$138K 24h vol$90KEnds Oct 1
Live
Other
OtherSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
Yes76.5%
+5.5 pts$134K 24h vol$38KEnds Nov 1
Odds reflect real prediction-market prices and are for informational purposes only. 1.ML is not a betting operator.