Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?99%+18.1Spread: Chargers (-6.5)100%-50.4Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?100%+0.1Spread: Broncos (-2.5)100%+47.4Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?99%-17.1Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)54%-1.0Colts vs. Chiefs72%Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?100%-0.2Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5100%+52.4Spread: SF (-12.5)100%+49.5Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?100%-0.7Spread: KC (-5.5)51%Spread: Bears (-4.5)100%-49.5Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)100%-50.4Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 47.5100%-51.4Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 41.5100%-48.4Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox97%-43.9Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?100%+0.1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84%+1.0Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5100%+48.4Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?100%+0.1
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?100%+21.3Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?100%+52.3
LiveWorldUnited States
United StatesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No
83.5%+1.0
24h volume$330K
Liquidity$740K
ClosesEnds Jan 1
Live odds history
Yes83.5¢
Sep 14Sep 21
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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