LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner100%-54.4LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner100%+46.5LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs100%+43.5LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner100%+48.4Spread: Bears (-6.5)76%+28.0Pelicans vs. Clippers53%+1.0Buccaneers vs. Bears91%-19.0Jazz vs. Timberwolves94%-10.0Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)100%+61.5Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)89%+38.5Celtics vs. Bucks95%+10.0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?88%+2.0Nets vs. Mavericks97%-22.4Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.557%+4.0Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?63%+17.0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?94%+0.1Will T1 win Worlds 2026?100%-16.4Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?99%-0.8Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?98%+0.7Spread: Bears (-5.5)78%+25.5
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?91%+3.5Flyers vs. Flames76%+25.0Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.572%+17.0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?88%+2.0Nets vs. Mavericks97%-22.4Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.557%+4.0Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?63%+17.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?94%+0.1Will T1 win Worlds 2026?100%-16.4Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?99%-0.8Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?98%+0.7Spread: Bears (-5.5)78%+25.5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?91%+3.5Flyers vs. Flames76%+25.0Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.572%+17.0
LiveWorldUnited States
United StatesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No
87.5%+2.0
24h volume$550K
Liquidity$424K
ClosesEnds Jan 1
Live odds history
Yes11.5¢
Nov 2Nov 9
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Related markets
LiveWorld
WorldIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Yes91.0%
+3.5 pts$350K 24h vol$92KEnds Nov 16
LiveWorld
WorldIran leadership change by December 31?
No91.5%
+1.0 pts$214K 24h vol$122KEnds Jan 1
LiveWorld
WorldUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?
No85.5%
$102K 24h vol$31KEnded
LiveWorld
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No93.5%
-2.0 pts$102K 24h vol$373KEnds Jan 1
LiveWorld
WorldIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes56.5%
$97K 24h vol$114KEnds Dec 31
LiveWorld
WorldIran leadership change by November 30?
No97.7%
-0.8 pts$96K 24h vol$182KEnds Dec 1
Odds reflect real prediction-market prices and are for informational purposes only. 1.ML is not a betting operator.