National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur100%Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?87%Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?100%+0.1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?82%-19.7Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins100%-63.4US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?78%-7.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?99%-0.6Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?52%-5.0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?98%+0.4Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winner100%+55.5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83%+2.0Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners100%+53.4Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies88%-13.0Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?84%-1.5National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockx86%Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves60%-0.5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.3Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?100%+37.5Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha95%+51.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.2National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Kamilla Rakhimova100%+17.9Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals56%-3.0Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox65%-2.5
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?82%-19.7Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins100%-63.4US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?78%-7.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?99%-0.6Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?52%-5.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?98%+0.4Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winner100%+55.5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83%+2.0Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners100%+53.4Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies88%-13.0Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?84%-1.5National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockx86%Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves60%-0.5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.3Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?100%+37.5Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha95%+51.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.2National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Kamilla Rakhimova100%+17.9Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals56%-3.0Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox65%-2.5
LiveWorldUnited States
United StatesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No
82.5%+2.0
24h volume$282K
Liquidity$819K
ClosesEnds Dec 31
Live odds history
Yes16.5¢
Jul 31Aug 6
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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