Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage100%Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group A100%+20.0LoL: ZSK vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D100%-50.0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?82%Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?97%-0.7Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?83%+81.0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?99%
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?100%-0.4Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?97%+21.3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?51%-6.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?99%+87.5Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?100%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?84%+14.8Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?99%+5.9
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?60%+2.3Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?93%+1.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?100%+3.5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 21?100%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?100%+30.9Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?95%-5.1Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?95%+52.3Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?96%-1.0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?82%Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?97%-0.7Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?83%+81.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?99%Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?100%-0.4Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?97%+21.3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?51%-6.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?99%+87.5Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?100%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?84%+14.8Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84%Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?99%+5.9Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?60%+2.3Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?93%+1.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?100%+3.5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 21?100%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?100%+30.9Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?95%-5.1Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?95%+52.3Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?96%-1.0
LiveCrypto
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No
99.9%-0.1
24h volume$12K
Liquidity$187K
ClosesEnds Oct 1
Live odds history
Yes99.9¢
Sep 14Sep 21
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Base will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base (https://x.com/base), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Odds reflect real prediction-market prices and are for informational purposes only. 1.ML is not a betting operator.