Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?81%+3.0LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D100%+59.5Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner63%Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?97%-0.7Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?95%+92.5
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?100%-0.7Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?98%+21.7
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?51%-6.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?99%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?100%+87.8Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 21?100%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?78%+21.1Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?100%
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?99%+5.4
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?92%-1.0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?60%+2.5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?100%+34.2Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?93%+0.52026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House92%+2.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?100%+3.4Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?94%-3.4Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?100%+4.8
RussiaWill voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Live odds history
About this market
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Related markets
PoliticsWill United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
PoliticsWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
PoliticsWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
PoliticsWill United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
PoliticsWill Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
Odds reflect real prediction-market prices and are for informational purposes only. 1.ML is not a betting operator.