US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?84%-20.8National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockx100%US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?80%-4.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?99%-0.6Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti54%-3.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?52%-5.0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?98%+0.5Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies95%-20.9Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.576%-31.0Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox62%+23.5National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang95%+2.0Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha100%+56.5Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winner100%+55.5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83%+2.0Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?85%-1.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.3Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals60%-7.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.2Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?99%-26.3Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?76%-5.0
BrazilWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
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About this market
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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