US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?82%-19.4Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins100%-63.4US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?78%-7.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?99%-0.6Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?52%-5.0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?98%+0.4National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockx88%Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners100%+53.4Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winner100%+55.5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83%+2.0Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies87%-12.0Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha100%+56.5National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang94%+0.5Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?85%-2.0Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves60%-0.5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.3Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?100%+37.5National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti55%-3.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.2National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Kamilla Rakhimova100%+17.9
United StatesTrump out as President by August 31?
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About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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