National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur100%Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?87%Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?100%+0.1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?82%-19.4Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins100%-63.4
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?78%-7.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?99%-0.6Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?52%-5.0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?98%+0.4National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockx88%Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners100%+53.4Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winner100%+55.5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83%+2.0Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies87%-12.0Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha100%+56.5National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang94%+0.5Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?85%-2.0Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves60%-0.5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.3Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?100%+37.5National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti55%-3.0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.2National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Kamilla Rakhimova100%+17.9

LivePolitics
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No
56.3%-2.1
24h volume$161K
Liquidity$308K
ClosesEnds Nov 7
Live odds history
Yes43.9¢
Aug 2Aug 6
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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Odds reflect real prediction-market prices and are for informational purposes only. 1.ML is not a betting operator.