US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?82%-19.4Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins100%-63.4US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?78%-7.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?99%-0.6Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?52%-5.0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?98%+0.4National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockx88%Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners100%+53.4Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winner100%+55.5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83%+2.0Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies87%-12.0Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha100%+56.5National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang94%+0.5Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?85%-2.0Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves60%-0.5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.3Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?100%+37.5National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti55%-3.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.2National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Kamilla Rakhimova100%+17.9
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
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About this market
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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