Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?82%-6.0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?100%Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?65%-3.0Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?100%Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?66%+3.0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?93%+1.0Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks76%-3.5
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?97%-66.3Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres80%+30.0Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazua100%+25.6Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?100%-0.1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?97%-0.5Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners93%-45.0Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?100%Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants96%-54.0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84%Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels92%+32.0
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?97%-0.9Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?73%+37.1Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?100%
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?93%+3.0Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.555%+7.0

LivePolitics
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No
99.9%
24h volume$469K
Liquidity$2.2M
ClosesEnds Nov 7
Live odds history
Yes99.9¢
Aug 18Aug 25
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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Odds reflect real prediction-market prices and are for informational purposes only. 1.ML is not a betting operator.