Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?86%-4.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?89%+6.0Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks87%+35.1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?93%+4.2Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels66%-23.0Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%+0.1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?68%+2.0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?60%+11.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?63%+5.0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?68%-1.0Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?97%-0.2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85%-1.0
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?100%+0.4Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?100%-22.4
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?84%+7.0
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?90%+8.0
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?75%
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?96%+2.0Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?100%Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?99%-0.1Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?92%-1.0Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?100%+22.6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?100%-0.2

LivePolitics
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No
99.9%
24h volume$131K
Liquidity$1.9M
ClosesEnds Nov 7
Live odds history
Yes0.1¢
Aug 19Aug 26
About this market
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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Odds reflect real prediction-market prices and are for informational purposes only. 1.ML is not a betting operator.