Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?86%-4.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?89%+6.0Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks87%+35.1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?93%+4.2Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels66%-23.0Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%+0.1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?68%+2.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?60%+11.5Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?63%+5.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?68%-1.0Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?97%-0.2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85%-1.0US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?100%+0.4Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?100%-22.4US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?84%+7.0US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?90%+8.0
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?75%US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?96%+2.0Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?100%Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?99%-0.1Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?92%-1.0Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?100%+22.6Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?100%-0.2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?93%+4.2Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels66%-23.0Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%+0.1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?68%+2.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?60%+11.5Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?63%+5.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?68%-1.0Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?97%-0.2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85%-1.0US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?100%+0.4Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?100%-22.4US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?84%+7.0US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?90%+8.0Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?75%US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?96%+2.0Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?100%Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?99%-0.1Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?92%-1.0Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?100%+22.6Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?100%-0.2
LiveOther
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No
98.6%-0.1
24h volume$208K
Liquidity$458K
ClosesEnds Nov 7
Live odds history
Yes98.6¢
Aug 19Aug 26
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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Odds reflect real prediction-market prices and are for informational purposes only. 1.ML is not a betting operator.