Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%-0.3Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?100%Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres64%-13.0Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks100%+19.4Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?65%-3.0Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?100%Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?93%+1.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?66%+3.0Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?97%-65.8Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?100%-0.1US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?97%-0.4Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?100%Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84%Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?66%+34.1Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekic68%-8.5Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?100%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?97%-0.6Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics100%+41.4US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?93%+3.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?68%Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?66%-1.0
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Live odds history
About this market
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)
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