Why CLV beats win-rate
Results are noisy; closing-line value is not. If you consistently get a better price than the market settles at, profit is a mathematical inevitability over time. CLV lets you judge your skill on process, not short-term luck.
- Closing-line value and CLV win-rate
- Beat-the-close percentage over any timeframe
- Average cents of edge captured vs. the close
- Skill signal that stabilizes long before results do