Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?86%-4.0Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?100%+32.6Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?88%+7.0Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?100%-31.4Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?68%+3.0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?91%+6.4Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees82%-24.0Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers98%-52.2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?100%+0.1Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez85%Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?68%-2.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?61%+11.0Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves61%+2.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?61%+6.0Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.588%-39.5Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?97%-0.1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85%-1.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%+0.1Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets70%-30.0US Open, Qualification WTA: Dalma Galfi vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich100%-37.0Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals78%+36.0Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.573%+23.5US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?100%+0.4
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?91%+6.4Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees82%-24.0Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers98%-52.2Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?100%+0.1Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100%Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez85%Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?68%-2.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?61%+11.0Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves61%+2.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?61%+6.0Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.588%-39.5Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?97%-0.1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85%-1.0Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99%+0.1Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets70%-30.0US Open, Qualification WTA: Dalma Galfi vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich100%-37.0Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals78%+36.0Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.573%+23.5US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?100%+0.4
LiveOther
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No
98.4%+0.3
24h volume$135K
Liquidity$195K
ClosesEnds Oct 1
Live odds history
Yes98.4¢
Aug 19Aug 26
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Odds reflect real prediction-market prices and are for informational purposes only. 1.ML is not a betting operator.